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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | extractive-manatee | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 35% (509–962, n=1471) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (870–456, n=1326) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.9M | $45K | $5.6M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #23 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 48% (14 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (27 of 38 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | NBA −1 pts, n=319 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 22% of 1555 at avg 21¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 71% (won 5% of 1101) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 12% (won 42% of 182) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 8% (won 64% of 130) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 9% (won 91% of 142) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | extractive-manatee | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $5.5K |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $127 | — | No $3 |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | — | No $5 |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? same side · consensus No | — | No $146 | — | No $675 |