Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

beachboy4: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)63% (1100–635, n=1735)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #110
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)64% (103 of 161 open)71% (67 of 95 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $146Yes $2.8K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.5KHornets $169—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12K—
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.8KOver $88—