← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | lava-lava | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 43% (438–580, n=1018) | 63% (987–572, n=1559) | 47% (14055–15545, n=29600) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $1.3M | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #131 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 53% (54 of 101 open) | 75% (101 of 135 open) | 56% (19 of 34 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | Finance −15 pts, n=14 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 41% of 880 at avg 39¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 48% (won 8% of 421) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 16% (won 38% of 140) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 15% (won 70% of 131) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 21% (won 96% of 188) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | lava-lava | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $48K | No $2 | — |