← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | ndb1 | rainbowlilies | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 65% (886–468, n=1354) | 43% (2871–3861, n=6732) | 47% (13362–14874, n=28236) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $4.2M | $162K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #145 | PM monthly #561 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 34% (66 of 194 open) | 70% (126 of 181 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Soccer −1 pts, n=492 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 7% of 5559 at avg 5¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 96% (won 5% of 5354) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 2% (won 37% of 105) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 1% (won 68% of 66) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 1% (won 85% of 34) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | ndb1 | rainbowlilies | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saint Louis win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $463 | Yes $54 | — |
| Will Florida win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $206 | Yes $83 | — |
| Will Illinois win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $164 | Yes $45 | — |