Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

beachboy4: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
primmrainbowliliesRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)41% (3071–4411, n=7482)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$149K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #39PM monthly #491PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position79% (180 of 228 open)55% (23 of 42 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=576—
Settled positions, side won99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%7% of 6535 at avg 5¢, ROI 0%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 95% of 59)97% (won 5% of 6313)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 99% of 512)2% (won 37% of 111)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 633)1% (won 69% of 68)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 65)1% (won 86% of 43)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.