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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | rainbowlilies | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) | 47% (1430–1597, n=3027) | 41% (3071–4411, n=7482) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $3.7M | $149K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (67 of 94 open) | no open consensus position | 79% (176 of 222 open) | 48% (19 of 40 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=576 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 7% of 6535 at avg 5¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 5% (won 95% of 59) | 97% (won 5% of 6313) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 40% (won 99% of 512) | 2% (won 37% of 111) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 50% (won 100% of 633) | 1% (won 69% of 68) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 5% (won 100% of 65) | 1% (won 86% of 43) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | rainbowlilies | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saint Louis win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $497 | — | Yes $2 | — |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $38 | — | Yes $189 | — |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.4K | — | Yes $185 | — |
| Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $107 | — | Yes $5 | — |
| Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $59 | — | Yes $8 | — |