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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | rainbowlilies | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 42% (2932–4051, n=6983) | 48% (14146–15606, n=29752) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $156K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #613 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 62% (126 of 203 open) | 58% (34 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=547 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 7% of 6090 at avg 5¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 97% (won 5% of 5884) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 2% (won 36% of 107) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 1% (won 69% of 61) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 1% (won 84% of 38) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | primm | rainbowlilies | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $18K | — | Yes $171 | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.6K | — | Yes $27 | — |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $137 | — |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $164 | — | Yes $3 | — |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $56 | — | Yes $8 | — |