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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
big8betzBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)49% (50–52, n=102)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)
Consensus PnL$71K$7.6M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #227PM monthly #3PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)89% (32 of 36 open)66% (126 of 190 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +17 pts n=28, ROI +13%
  • NBA +7 pts n=30, ROI +12%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNFL −2 pts, n=11—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won57% of 76 at avg 48¢, ROI +11%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 27% of 11)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 44% of 27)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 77% of 35)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 33% of 3)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbig8betzBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.4K—No $44K