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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying88888BreakTheBankprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (211–156, n=367)41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL-$5.7K$7.7M$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #1PM monthly #46PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (10 of 20 open)81% (29 of 36 open)85% (11 of 13 open)66% (33 of 50 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 112 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 61)36% (won 98% of 212)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 50)35% (won 100% of 205)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying88888BreakTheBankprimmRN1
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $494—Buccaneers $8.5KBuccaneers $16K
Spread: Bears (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $409—Buccaneers $9.0KBuccaneers $9.3K
Spread: Bears (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $2.6K—Buccaneers $12KBuccaneers $2.6K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.6K—Over $7.9KUnder $2.8K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $54—Buccaneers $92Buccaneers $2.4K
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $1.1KBears $96Buccaneers $407—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.3KOver $16K—
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $841Bears $12K——
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $63——Over $3.4K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $264——Over $2.9K
Spread: Bears (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $102—Buccaneers $16—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.7K—Over $12K—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $13KOver $676
Spread: Bears (-7.5)
same side · consensus Bears
Bears $455—Bears $10K—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $408——Under $151