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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying99999Flaznorpjoseph00677S-Works
Record (consensus markets)48% (135–144, n=279)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)43% (10–13, n=23)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$12K$4.1M$3.3M$3.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #444PM monthly #16PM monthly #8PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus44% (4 of 9 open)76% (91 of 120 open)no open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=61, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=38, ROI +46%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won100% of 113 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 61)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 100% of 50)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying99999Flaznorpjoseph00677S-Works
Pelicans vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $48Pelicans $4.1K—Pelicans $52K
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $588Under $1.6K——
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $287Under $831——
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $678Under $234——
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $273—Bilibili Gaming $386K
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $63No $15K——