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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| blue.birds | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 37% (2136–3713, n=5849) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2K | $7.6M | $4.1M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #442 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #98 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 89% (33 of 37 open) | 70% (113 of 161 open) | 73% (111 of 152 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −6 pts, n=1173 | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 16% of 1173 at avg 22¢, ROI −4% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 74% (won 1% of 864) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 13% of 88) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 53% of 96) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 97% of 125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | blue.birds | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $1.3K | No $115 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $409K | — | No $337K |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $651K | No $52K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $292K | — | Yes $11K |