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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
borntoolate.ethCORGIIBreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)73% (222–84, n=306)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$142K$4.5M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus75% (6 of 8 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (74 of 103 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=103———
Settled positions, side won66% of 335 at avg 62¢, ROI −6%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 8% of 102)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 62% of 34)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)0%
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 81% of 26)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up52% (won 98% of 173)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketborntoolate.ethCORGIIBreakTheBank00gringo00
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.4K—Yes $37K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.8K—Yes $169K—