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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bosshog | CORGII | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 74% (861–309, n=1170) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $225K | $4.5M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (22 of 34 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=65 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 1379 at avg 75¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 13% of 185) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 46% of 103) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 63% of 157) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 68% (won 96% of 934) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bosshog | CORGII | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.4K | — | — | Yes $270K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $720 | — | — | Yes $30K |