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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bosshog | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 74% (864–310, n=1174) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) |
| Consensus PnL | $228K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (27 of 41 open) | no open consensus position | 90% (143 of 159 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=65 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 1379 at avg 75¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 13% of 185) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 46% of 103) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 63% of 157) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 68% (won 96% of 934) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bosshog | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.5K | — | Yes $270K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $730 | — | Yes $30K | — |