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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boyau | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (169–244, n=413) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6473–6009, n=12482) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) |
| Consensus PnL | $804K | $7.9M | $3.6M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #386 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #103 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 83% (25 of 30 open) | 70% (78 of 111 open) | 70% (62 of 88 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 408 at avg 31¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 59% (won 10% of 242) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 58% of 60) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 75% of 53) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 100% of 53) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | boyau | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1 | — | Yes $1.0M |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | — | No $335K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $69K | — | — | No $29K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $6.0K | — | — | No $42K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $15K | — | — | No $678 |