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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boyau | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (169–245, n=414) | 52% (6519–6017, n=12536) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) |
| Consensus PnL | $807K | $3.5M | $3.2M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #401 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 70% (188 of 268 open) | 73% (81 of 111 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 408 at avg 31¢, ROI +1% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 59% (won 10% of 242) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 58% of 60) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 75% of 53) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 100% of 53) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | boyau | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $69K | — | No $29K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5.7K | — | No $42K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $15K | — | No $678 | — |