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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
brteCORGIIsainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)69% (9–4, n=13)62% (393–245, n=638)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$6.6K$4.5M$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #936PM monthly #68was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus81% (13 of 16 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position73% (73 of 100 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 9 at avg 89¢, ROI +11%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢0%9% (won 92% of 36)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢0%56% (won 99% of 223)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢0%33% (won 100% of 133)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 9)2% (won 100% of 7)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbrteCORGIIsainttroplayBreakTheBank
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.7K——No $102K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $11K——No $35K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2K——No $22K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.2K——Yes $169K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.3K——Yes $38K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.2K——Yes $4.1K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $4.1K——No $590