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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
btnaFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)67% (47–23, n=70)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1095–631, n=1726)
Consensus PnL$53K$4.1M$3.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #554PM monthly #10PM monthly #8PM monthly #118
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)75% (235 of 314 open)no open consensus position71% (70 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +10 pts n=26, ROI −2%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won61% of 46 at avg 52¢, ROI +3%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 31% of 13)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 57% of 7)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 64% of 14)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 92% of 12)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbtnaFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $23KNo $670——
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $5.4KNo $1.1K——
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.5KNo $111——
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4K—No $41
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $191——