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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bullishkirbyBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)75% (101–33, n=134)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$83K$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #928PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 6 open)78% (43 of 55 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won91% of 120 at avg 80¢, ROI +6%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 22% of 9)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 88% of 8)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 82% of 11)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up77% (won 99% of 92)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbullishkirbyBreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $37KYes $274K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $14KYes $172K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.4KNo $577
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $23KNo $202K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $121Yes $85K