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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
classifieddenizzpleaseletmealone
Record (consensus markets)27% (30–82, n=112)57% (34–26, n=60)no settled market
Consensus PnL$783K$1.1M$1.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #334PM monthly #162PM monthly #432
Sides with the consensus68% (19 of 28 open)85% (23 of 27 open)79% (147 of 186 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won———
Entries under 30¢———
Entries 30–50¢———
Entries 50–70¢———
Entries 70¢ and up———

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketclassifieddenizzpleaseletmealone
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $12No $40K—
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.3KYes $25K—
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $225Yes $10K—
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0K—Yes $2
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
same side · consensus No
No $13KNo $251K—
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $469No $1.7K—