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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
classifieddenizze46m3pleaseletmealone
Record (consensus markets)27% (30–82, n=112)57% (34–26, n=60)17% (155–762, n=917)no settled market
Consensus PnL$783K$1.1M$536K$1.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #334PM monthly #162PM monthly #2PM monthly #432
Sides with the consensus68% (19 of 28 open)85% (23 of 27 open)73% (318 of 433 open)79% (146 of 185 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Tech ±0 pts, n=36—
Settled positions, side won——93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%—
Entries under 30¢——7% (won 11% of 46)—
Entries 30–50¢——1% (won 86% of 7)—
Entries 50–70¢——1% (won 75% of 8)—
Entries 70¢ and up——90% (won 100% of 565)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketclassifieddenizze46m3pleaseletmealone
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $12No $40K——
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.3KYes $25K——
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $225Yes $10K——
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $7.5KYes $59—
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0K——Yes $2
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
same side · consensus No
No $13KNo $251K——
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $32KYes $87—
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $469No $1.7K——
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.2KYes $6—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $9Yes $527
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $6Yes $314
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $108Yes $212
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $4Yes $230
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $5Yes $211
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $5Yes $130
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $10Yes $116
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $94Yes $30
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $20Yes $35
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $45Yes $5—
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $22Yes $21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $18Yes $10
Will Backrooms be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $9Yes $3
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $5Yes $5
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $6Yes $4
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $6Yes $2
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $5Yes $2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $5Yes $2
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $3Yes $2
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $4Yes $1
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $3Yes $1