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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankclassifieddenizzpleaseletmealone
Record (consensus markets)96% (291–13, n=304)27% (30–82, n=112)57% (34–26, n=60)no settled market
Consensus PnL$8.4M$783K$1.1M$1.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #334PM monthly #162PM monthly #432
Sides with the consensus84% (37 of 44 open)68% (19 of 28 open)85% (23 of 27 open)79% (147 of 186 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%———
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)———
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)———
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)———
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)———

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankclassifieddenizzpleaseletmealone
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $12No $40K—
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.3KYes $25K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15K——Yes $25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $225Yes $10K—
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.0K—Yes $2
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K——Yes $234
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
same side · consensus No
—No $13KNo $251K—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.8K——Yes $6
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $469No $1.7K—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $701——Yes $7
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $695——Yes $5
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $273——Yes $4
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200——Yes $1
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200——Yes $1
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200——Yes $1
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200——Yes $1
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200——Yes $1
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $187——Yes $1
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $171——Yes $1
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28——Yes $28
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $42——Yes $4