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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
crmannetjeprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (25–29, n=54)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$23K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #948PM monthly #63PM monthly #37 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position76% (16 of 21 open)46% (52 of 114 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicSoccer −18 pts, n=17——
Settled positions, side won58% of 43 at avg 47¢, ROI +21%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 27% of 11)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 64% of 11)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 63% of 16)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 100% of 5)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcrmannetjeprimmRN1
Iowa State vs. Baylor
opposite sides · consensus Baylor
—Iowa State $16KBaylor $21K
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
—Alabama $4.2KLSU $39
Spread: Delaware (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Delaware
—Delaware $2.1KKennesaw State $1.6K
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.3KOver $619
Penn State vs. Washington: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KOver $405
Colorado vs. Arizona State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $565Under $500
Spread: Iowa (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern
—Iowa $390Northwestern $521
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
same side · consensus Notre Dame
—Notre Dame $175KNotre Dame $25K
Georgia vs. Ole Miss
same side · consensus Georgia
—Georgia $14KGeorgia $5.6K
Oregon vs. Ohio State: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.4KUnder $4.2K
Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5)
same side · consensus Notre Dame
—Notre Dame $55Notre Dame $2.5K
Spread: Kansas (-2.5)
same side · consensus UCF
—UCF $1.9KUCF $3
Spread: Florida (-3.5)
same side · consensus Oklahoma
—Oklahoma $34Oklahoma $16