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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cryingbabydicer87 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (6761–7639, n=14400) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (991–574, n=1565) | 50% (1107–1127, n=2234) |
| Consensus PnL | $20K | $5.3M | $3.2M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #699 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #50 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (130 of 147 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (51 of 74 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | Crypto −2 pts, n=4060 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 4429 at avg 52¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 8% of 1834) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 39% of 577) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 72% of 366) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 37% (won 97% of 1652) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cryingbabydicer87 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $157 | — | No $495K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $16 | — | No $42K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $15 | — | No $31K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $28 | — | No $30K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $40 | — | No $29K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $25 | — | No $25K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $10 | — | No $20K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $2 | — | No $12K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $8 | — | No $678 | — |