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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| darkumbreon88 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (1753–924, n=2677) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $215K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #806 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (9 of 13 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1584 at avg 69¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 18) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 100% of 152) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 100% of 595) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 100% of 819) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | darkumbreon88 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A opposite sides · consensus Heroic | Heroic $1.1K | — | B8 $22K | — |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B opposite sides · consensus Aurora Gaming | Aurora Gaming $179 | — | Liquid $11K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $228 | Chiefs $465K | — | — |