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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
darkumbreon88CORGIIBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)65% (1753–924, n=2677)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$215K$4.5M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #806PM monthly #68PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus69% (9 of 13 open)25% (1 of 4 open)74% (72 of 97 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=81, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +32 pts n=211, ROI +31%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won100% of 1584 at avg 69¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 18)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 100% of 152)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 100% of 595)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up52% (won 100% of 819)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdarkumbreon88CORGIIBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
Heroic $1.1KB8 $22K——
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
opposite sides · consensus Aurora Gaming
Aurora Gaming $179Liquid $11K——
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $228—Chiefs $465K—