← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| dips. | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | CORGII | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (4921–6237, n=11158) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 61% (395–248, n=643) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) |
| Consensus PnL | $28K | -$6.6M | $194K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #290 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 29% (15 of 51 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 68% (48 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=4458 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 41% of 7533 at avg 41¢, ROI 0% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 48% (won 4% of 3651) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 34% of 734) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 64% of 912) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 93% of 2236) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | dips. | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | CORGII | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.8K | — | — | No $479K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $351 | — | — | Yes $408K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $851 | — | — | No $22K |