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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
donthackme0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816BreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)63% (6400–3785, n=10185)61% (495–321, n=816)45% (542–652, n=1194)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$677K-$352K$11.0M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #12was PM monthly #51PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus77% (251 of 326 open)72% (13 of 18 open)87% (143 of 164 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=263Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won48% of 6420 at avg 42¢, ROI +12%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢47% (won 14% of 3014)15% (won 29% of 125)10% (won 82% of 56)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 46% of 716)34% (won 58% of 283)36% (won 98% of 198)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 68% of 785)43% (won 69% of 354)35% (won 99% of 191)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 94% of 1905)7% (won 80% of 60)19% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdonthackme0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816BreakTheBankbeachboy4
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $648—No $253K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K—Yes $31K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $338—
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $200—
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $200—