← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| donthackme | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (6398–3767, n=10165) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $677K | $5.8M | $11.0M | -$6.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #12 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (231 of 303 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment ±0 pts, n=263 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 6420 at avg 42¢, ROI +12% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 47% (won 14% of 3014) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 46% of 716) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 68% of 785) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 94% of 1905) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | donthackme | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $648 | — | No $253K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | Yes $31K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | — | Yes $338 | — |
| Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | — | Yes $200 | — |
| Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | — | Yes $200 | — |