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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
donthackmejoseph00677RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)63% (6400–3785, n=10185)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$677K$5.6M$14.8M$11.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #12PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus77% (251 of 326 open)no open consensus position56% (25 of 45 open)87% (143 of 164 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=263———
Settled positions, side won48% of 6420 at avg 42¢, ROI +12%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢47% (won 14% of 3014)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 46% of 716)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 68% of 785)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 94% of 1905)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdonthackmejoseph00677RN1BreakTheBank
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $648——No $253K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $31K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12——Yes $338
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5——Yes $200
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5——Yes $200