← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| dv-pm | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (3200–3422, n=6622) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $197K | -$6.6M | $14.8M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (8 of 19 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (27 of 48 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tennis −1 pts, n=1046 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 47% of 5487 at avg 47¢, ROI +2% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 17% of 1196) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 40% of 1739) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 59% of 1659) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 80% of 893) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | dv-pm | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Grizzlies $314 | — | Pelicans $129 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-11.5) same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $36 | — | 76ers $228 | — |