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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dv-pmBreakTheBankRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)48% (3200–3422, n=6622)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$197K$11.0M$14.8M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #373PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus37% (7 of 19 open)87% (143 of 164 open)55% (24 of 44 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTennis −1 pts, n=1046———
Settled positions, side won47% of 5487 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 17% of 1196)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 40% of 1739)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 59% of 1659)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 80% of 893)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdv-pmBreakTheBankRN1primm
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Grizzlies $314—Pelicans $129—
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $36—76ers $114—