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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| e46m3 | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 76% (11286–3654, n=14940) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13355–14864, n=28219) |
| Consensus PnL | $925K | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (277 of 416 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (28 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −6 pts, n=17 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 5423 at avg 55¢, ROI +29% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 19% of 2052) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 53% of 368) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 72% of 497) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 97% of 2506) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.