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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| e46m3 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (10963–3272, n=14235) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $874K | $5.6M | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #12 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (95 of 185 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (26 of 35 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Politics −1 pts, n=49 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 4902 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 20% of 1850) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 54% of 350) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 73% of 444) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 98% of 2258) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | e46m3 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $20 | — | Yes $819K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $179 | — | No $1.9M | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | No $18K | — | No $1.4M | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | Yes $743 | — | Yes $604K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8.2K | — | Yes $464K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $12K | — | No $235K | — |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? same side · consensus No | No $592 | — | No $84K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $248 | — | No $7.1K | — |