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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| e46m3 | ndb1 | Vanchalkenstein | Wiretransferxyz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (1377–2855, n=4232) | 58% (419–300, n=719) | no settled market | 59% (363–253, n=616) |
| Consensus PnL | $531K | $4.7M | — | $883K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #157 | PM monthly #605 | PM monthly #227 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (319 of 424 open) | 70% (57 of 81 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | — | 59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 11% of 46) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | — | 6% (won 17% of 29) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 86% of 7) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | — | 35% (won 46% of 171) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 75% of 8) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | — | 47% (won 66% of 233) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 90% (won 100% of 565) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | — | 13% (won 89% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | e46m3 | ndb1 | Vanchalkenstein | Wiretransferxyz |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $11 | No $350K | — | — |
| Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $20 | Yes $130 | — | — |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $13 | No $38 | — | — |
| Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | No $16 | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $108 | Yes $12K | — | — |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $23 | Yes $571 | — | — |
| Will Colorado Avalanche be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | Yes $22 | — | — |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | Yes $7 | — | — |