← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| equalsignificance | RN1 | beachboy4 | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (208–177, n=385) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 52% (273–252, n=525) |
| Consensus PnL | $211K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #280 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 |
| Settled positions, side won | 89% of 227 at avg 55¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 70% of 10) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 20% (won 12% of 109) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 83% of 78) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 21% (won 46% of 114) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 91% of 102) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 60% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 97% of 37) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 26% (won 82% of 137) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | equalsignificance | RN1 | beachboy4 | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.1K | — | — | Yes $2.3K |