← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ethBELIVER | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (23–34, n=57) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $304K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #446 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (8 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 24 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 25% of 4) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 100% of 6) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 100% of 6) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 100% of 8) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ethBELIVER | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | — | Chiefs $465K | Broncos $7.4K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $21K | — | Yes $82K | — |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | Yes $3.1K | — | Yes $56K | — |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | — | Yes $56K | — |