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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ethBELIVER | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (23–34, n=57) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 47% (13855–15338, n=29193) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $304K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #446 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (9 of 16 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 88% (131 of 149 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 26 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 25% of 4) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 100% of 6) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 100% of 7) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 100% of 9) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ethBELIVER | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $29K | — | — | Yes $67K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | — | No $32K |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | — | — | Yes $57K |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | — | — | Yes $32K |