← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| extractive-manatee | joseph00677 | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (507–957, n=1464) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (886–468, n=1354) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $41K | $5.6M | $4.2M | — |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #143 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (41 of 76 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (33 of 45 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | NBA −1 pts, n=318 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 22% of 1548 at avg 21¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 71% (won 5% of 1092) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 41% of 181) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 63% of 132) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 91% of 143) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | extractive-manatee | joseph00677 | ndb1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $9 | — | Yes $5.1K | — |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $144 | — | No $3 | — |
| Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? opposite sides · consensus No | No $116 | — | Yes $5 | — |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? same side · consensus No | No $370 | — | No $675 | — |