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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpS-Works
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$4.1M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #11PM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus57% (13 of 23 open)65% (132 of 204 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpS-Works
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
Lions $21KDolphins $168—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
Claire Liu $7.9KAlexandra Eala $6.8K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $151Yes $2.7K—
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $13KAnna Blinkova $5.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.2KUnder $13K—
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $842Over $1.3K—
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Crystal Palace FC
Liverpool FC $529Liverpool FC $165—
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus MOUZ
TheMongolz $647TheMongolz $2—