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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpprimmTheWindKnowsmyName
Record (consensus markets)35% (3646–6660, n=10306)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)67% (184–90, n=274)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$3.6M$3.6M-$102K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #558PM monthly #19PM monthly #47was PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensus67% (16 of 24 open)70% (127 of 181 open)57% (4 of 7 open)49% (93 of 188 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%90% of 186 at avg 69¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)12% (won 36% of 22)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)14% (won 92% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)12% (won 96% of 23)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)62% (won 99% of 115)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpprimmTheWindKnowsmyName
Blues vs. Devils
opposite sides · consensus Devils
Devils $28KBlues $2——
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Utah
Canadiens $27KUtah $254——
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
Canadiens $26KUtah $2——
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
Blues $15KDevils $4——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maria Sakkari
Maria Sakkari $12KAliaksandra Sasnovich $665——
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.9KOver $425——
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $589—Under $1.6K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11—Under $1.8K—
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
Southern Miss $949—James Madison $340—
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
opposite sides · consensus Rider Broncs
New Hampshire Wildcats $775Rider Broncs $255——
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3Under $8——
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)
same side · consensus Bruins
Bruins $15KBruins $109——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus UTSA
—Florida Atlantic $45Florida Atlantic $1.4K—