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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | gesst | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (11779–15353, n=27132) | 59% (220–151, n=371) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.5M | $41K | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | was PM monthly #412 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 85% (22 of 26 open) | 71% (67 of 94 open) | 57% (40 of 70 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −10 pts, n=49 | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 42% of 355 at avg 42¢, ROI +2% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 51% (won 7% of 182) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 9% (won 36% of 33) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 7% (won 56% of 25) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 32% (won 95% of 115) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | gesst | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris | Liam Broady $2.0K | — | — | Billy Harris $6.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | — | Over $1.8K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $8 | No $357 | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Cavaliers $1.5K | — | — | Cavaliers $708 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.3K | — | — | Over $360 |