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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1snoopy.trader
Record (consensus markets)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)63% (1101–635, n=1736)48% (19652–21409, n=41061)36% (284–502, n=786)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$4.6M$14.9M$80K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #109PM monthly #35 + pinnedwas PM monthly #939
Sides with the consensus75% (9 of 12 open)70% (67 of 96 open)59% (16 of 27 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%46% of 514 at avg 36¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)53% (won 15% of 271)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)12% (won 52% of 64)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)15% (won 81% of 77)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)20% (won 97% of 102)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1snoopy.trader
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen $13K—Yannick Hanfmann $885—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie $15K—Cameron Norrie $15K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—