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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 | soapbubbles | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (11396–14488, n=25884) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) | 65% (30–16, n=46) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.8M | $4.6M | $14.9M | $30K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | PM monthly #958 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (15 of 29 open) | 74% (73 of 99 open) | 63% (34 of 54 open) | 100% (7 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 89% of 27 at avg 68¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 7% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 33% (won 100% of 9) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 4% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 56% (won 93% of 15) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 | soapbubbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $7.6K | — | Over $2.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $295 | — | Buccaneers $2.4K | — |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff $91K | — | Coco Gauff $58K | — |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj | Patrick Zahraj $65K | — | Patrick Zahraj $5.8K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $28K | — | Buccaneers $14K | — |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | Keisuke Saitoh $5.3K | — | Keisuke Saitoh $21K | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $14K | — | Over $8.5K | — |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9.9K | — | Over $256 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 | — |