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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026primmRN1TSFSYD
Record (consensus markets)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)48% (19652–21409, n=41061)29% (40–99, n=139)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$3.7M$14.9M$28K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #41PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #973
Sides with the consensus67% (8 of 12 open)no open consensus position59% (16 of 27 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +12 pts n=14, ROI +7%
Weakest topic———Tennis −12 pts, n=83
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%26% of 121 at avg 34¢, ROI −11%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)64% (won 3% of 78)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)13% (won 25% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)16% (won 100% of 19)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026primmRN1TSFSYD
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen $14K—Yannick Hanfmann $885—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie $15K—Cameron Norrie $15K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $166
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—