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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026primmRN1strominion
Record (consensus markets)35% (3646–6660, n=10306)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)no settled market
Consensus PnL$2.9M$3.6M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #419PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus74% (25 of 34 open)67% (6 of 9 open)55% (36 of 66 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)—
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)—
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)—
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026primmRN1strominion
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
Southern Miss $949James Madison $1.5KSouthern Miss $412—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $19Under $1.8KOver $149—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
James Madison $23K—Southern Miss $26—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus UTSA
UTSA $5.7KFlorida Atlantic $7.3K——
Spread: UTSA (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTSA
Florida Atlantic $8.7K—UTSA $559—
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
James Madison $8.6K—Southern Miss $32—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.6K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $786Under $1.6K——
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $4Jaguars $1.5K—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $690Under $423—
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $750Jaguars $151—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3—Under $313—
Jaguars vs. Ravens
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $200K—Jaguars $4.0K—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
Thiago Seyboth Wild $16K—Thiago Seyboth Wild $20K—
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
same side · consensus James Kent Trotter
James Kent Trotter $13K—James Kent Trotter $10K—
Bruins vs. Penguins
same side · consensus Penguins
Penguins $11K—Penguins $72—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $628—Ravens $688—