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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
| flawfence | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (260–241, n=501) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $901K | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #34 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (57 of 106 open) | 78% (42 of 54 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 312 at avg 57¢, ROI +30% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 53% of 55) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 94% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 28% (won 93% of 86) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 99% of 108) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | flawfence | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.4K | No $253K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | No $85K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $7.3K | No $35K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.4K | No $16K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25K | Yes $52K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | Yes $71K |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.9K | Yes $2.5K |