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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| flawfence | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (260–241, n=501) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $902K | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #34 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (57 of 107 open) | 71% (58 of 82 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 312 at avg 57¢, ROI +30% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 53% of 55) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 94% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 28% (won 93% of 86) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 99% of 108) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | flawfence | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.4K | No $253K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | No $88K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $7.3K | No $35K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.4K | No $16K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.6K | Yes $71K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25K | Yes $51K | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.9K | Yes $2.5K | — |