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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| forecastication4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1140–1154, n=2294) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $106K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #321 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (5 of 12 open) | 72% (78 of 108 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (20 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 805 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 91% of 35) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 99% of 312) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 100% of 271) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 100% of 187) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | forecastication4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $1.3K | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cardinals $1.1K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | — | Ravens $696 |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | — | Jets $284 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $2.1K | — | Ravens $376 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $378K | — | Bills $395 |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $171K | — | Raiders $5.8K |