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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fyrsken | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (290–248, n=538) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $23K | $4.4M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #808 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (7 of 16 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 66% (105 of 160 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 288 at avg 50¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 52% (won 95% of 150) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 96% of 128) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 100% of 9) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fyrsken | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts vs. Jaguars opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Colts $54 | — | — | Jaguars $3.4K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Colts $106 | — | — | Jaguars $643 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $215 | — | — | Under $136 |
| Vålerenga Fotball vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $250 | — | — | Under $2.5K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $255 | — | — | Cardinals $714 |
| Lommel SK vs. KAA Gent: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $277 | — | — | Under $103 |
| Spread: Bengals (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Titans $330 | — | — | Titans $50 |
| Will Lommel SK vs. KAA Gent end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $122 | — | — | Yes $119 |